Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 289.324590 328.058584 371.384109 423.686610 485.444999 556.452184 644.854230
2025-01-12 230.185654 280.027151 340.956821 421.903350 528.112517 664.852744 857.771632
2025-01-19 190.299388 241.656155 307.988768 401.668086 533.428785 716.683494 999.279294
2025-01-26 175.409627 231.266586 307.007804 420.053117 589.624344 843.461022 1270.731434
2025-02-02 165.867183 225.971936 311.046359 444.497181 656.894094 997.699850 1622.533468
2025-02-09 151.999408 212.465793 301.003936 445.553297 687.058697 1097.805258 1908.559627
2025-02-16 137.681596 196.506600 285.062292 434.511479 694.623818 1159.699259 2139.384260
2025-02-23 126.204913 183.545655 272.065680 426.070670 704.516396 1226.532118 2397.811159
2025-03-02 120.211691 178.376457 270.628589 436.526755 749.343789 1367.852847 2860.267020
2025-03-09 112.904586 170.373377 263.618891 436.094910 773.325220 1472.029323 3272.102654
2025-03-16 104.937620 160.582147 252.602159 426.910308 778.452702 1536.990843 3608.289161
2025-03-23 99.402893 154.339837 247.012200 427.011831 802.221378 1648.167843 4111.672244
2025-03-30 92.694166 145.766654 236.871284 417.804843 806.301164 1717.929134 4536.664515
2025-04-06 87.669730 139.726002 230.752673 415.871929 826.262361 1832.348267 5159.180686
2025-04-13 80.676173 129.729104 216.566574 396.001208 802.496429 1829.427805 5388.809961
2025-04-20 79.310546 129.580051 220.561686 414.062822 870.157973 2088.597815 6708.075005
2025-04-27 78.681434 130.680771 226.977180 438.072227 957.076118 2430.284098 8608.089036
2025-05-04 75.423185 126.691421 223.150331 439.109431 986.128364 2608.110001 9938.443022
2025-05-11 71.148648 120.515633 214.498608 428.264802 982.059714 2679.956032 10817.650801
2025-05-18 67.478053 115.255296 207.289488 419.973932 983.682930 2772.250706 11888.776773
2025-05-25 65.915203 113.921023 207.953882 430.244177 1039.133546 3070.522860 14430.223293
2025-06-01 63.439998 110.652705 204.345940 429.820028 1063.797532 3266.364834 16570.770148
2025-06-08 60.364431 106.023571 197.538053 420.798687 1061.360307 3358.464966 18118.859268